Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.389463 0.430885 0.475378 0.526812 0.584737 0.648074 0.722738
2025-04-20 0.325630 0.383485 0.450240 0.533336 0.634523 0.754396 0.908132
2025-04-27 0.289281 0.355057 0.434659 0.538851 0.672745 0.840531 1.069071
2025-05-04 0.262585 0.333138 0.421868 0.542859 0.705407 0.918888 1.224904
2025-05-11 0.240760 0.314119 0.409439 0.544063 0.732027 0.989254 1.375072
2025-05-18 0.224783 0.300681 0.402227 0.550263 0.764337 1.068594 1.544610
2025-05-25 0.205425 0.280655 0.383839 0.538410 0.768811 1.107250 1.656768
2025-06-01 0.194879 0.271800 0.379907 0.546257 0.801805 1.189801 1.843910
2025-06-08 0.182269 0.258865 0.368854 0.542179 0.815714 1.243568 1.989933
2025-06-15 0.173362 0.250565 0.363755 0.546311 0.842127 1.318637 2.178655
2025-06-22 0.162310 0.238216 0.351557 0.538143 0.847670 1.359553 2.312216
2025-06-29 0.153151 0.228089 0.341958 0.533147 0.857595 1.408074 2.463896
2025-07-06 0.140885 0.212532 0.323087 0.511973 0.839044 1.406810 2.525706
2025-07-13 0.135417 0.207340 0.320319 0.517304 0.866556 1.489395 2.756977
2025-07-20 0.130431 0.202555 0.317798 0.522691 0.894355 1.574776 3.003962
2025-07-27 0.125551 0.197607 0.314617 0.526558 0.919512 1.657327 3.255344
2025-08-03 0.120551 0.192135 0.310159 0.527720 0.939555 1.731707 3.498772
2025-08-10 0.116773 0.188470 0.308498 0.533707 0.969088 1.827397 3.800979
2025-08-17 0.110336 0.179902 0.297813 0.522261 0.963707 1.851757 3.945636
2025-08-24 0.107428 0.177258 0.297343 0.529839 0.996505 1.958127 4.294584
2025-08-31 0.102929 0.171572 0.291094 0.525901 1.005576 2.014885 4.532572
2025-09-07 0.099906 0.168330 0.289043 0.529891 1.031207 2.109911 4.878050
2025-09-14 0.095378 0.162150 0.281253 0.522004 1.031111 2.147590 5.082928